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187 articles · page 9 of 13
Leicester's success story: Skill or luck ?
Much has been written in the days since Leicester City stunned the football world by winning the Premier League, with commentators, bloggers, and modellers now attempting post hoc rationalizations to explain how Leicester’s against-all-odds climb to the top happened, why it happened, and why it was always more likely to have happened than everyone previously expected.
Applying the Elo Rating System to Soccer Betting
The Elo rating system, initially designed to evaluate the skill levels of chess players, has been adapted to various sports and is now widely used in football to compare team performance. By using this method, it is possible to identify value bets by calculating the probabilities of match outcomes.
Closing Line Value (CLV) Applied to Sports Betting: A Key Indicator for Bettors
In the world of sports betting, the search for winning strategies and effective evaluation methods is constant. Among the many indicators used by experienced bettors, the Closing Line Value (CLV) stands out for its ability to measure the quality of predictions.
The d'Alembert Martingale Applied to Sports Betting
In sports betting, bettors often use mathematical strategies to maximize their winnings and limit their losses. Among these strategies, martingales are particularly popular. One of the simplest and less risky variants is the d'Alembert martingale, based on a method of arithmetic progression.
The Fibonacci Martingale Applied to Sports Betting
In the world of sports betting, players often seek strategies to maximize their winnings and minimize their losses. Among these methods, martingales are quite popular. One of the most intriguing variations is the Fibonacci-based martingale.
How good is a sports betting tipster?
In this article, we will explore how to evaluate a tipster using survivorship bias and also introduce a mathematical formula to quickly judge a tipster's abilities.
Paddy Power settles relegation bets on Everton after just two matches !
This critical situation has not gone unnoticed, especially by bookmaker Paddy Power, who has decided to pay out bets on the Toffees' relegation immediately.
How to Calculate a Draw No Bet from 1X2 Odds ?
In this article, we will explore what a Draw No Bet is and walk through a manual example.
How much value is there in soccer betting markets ?
In this article, we will explore how to identify value in soccer betting markets, focusing on one of the most crucial concepts: Expected Value (EV). We’ll also guide you through the steps to calculate this value, along with the essential statistics and metrics to uncover the best opportunities. Whether you are a novice or an experienced bettor, this introduction will equip you with the tools you need to improve your bets and maximize your profits.
What Are the Real Chances of Winning the Lottery ?
Understanding the real chances of winning the lottery requires diving into the fascinating realm of cognitive biases and probability.
Using the Closing Line to Test Your Betting Skills
In this article, we will analyze a real betting record, then see if beating the closing line can happen by chance, before concluding with a comparison of the closing line value with profits/losses.
The Online Sports Betting Market Worldwide
In this article, we will explore the online sports betting market worldwide, looking at its history, present, and future.
The Poisson Distribution Applied to Sports Betting
In this article, we will explore how the Poisson distribution can be applied to sports betting by detailing its definition, formulas, concrete examples, and discussing its limitations.
Five Key Principles to Remember in Sports Betting
In this article, we will look at what the end goal should be, understanding the competition you are betting on, that the most important thing is not always winning, and finally, taking care of your money.