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Euro 2024: Group F betting preview

In this article, we take a look at the contenders in Group F at Euro 2024 and try to make some predictions.


Who will be the two qualifiers from Group F at Euro 2024 ?


Euro 2024: Group F


PORTUGAL


To Win the Group: 1.45

To Win Euro 2024: 8.50


Euro 2016 champions Portugal will arrive in Germany in a confident mood. They were the best side in the qualification process, winning all 10 games. While not in the toughest qualifying group, a record of 36 goals scored and only two conceded shows how utterly dominant the Portuguese were.


Group F at Euro 2024 looks unlikely to provide Roberto Martinez’s side with stern opposition either, and it is a fair reward for such a strong qualifying performance. Based on the FIFA Rankings in April, Portugal are the only team in this group in the top 35 in the world, whereas Group D, for instance, is filled with nations who are 28th or better.


The Portuguese should win this section with ease and there is a distinct advantage to doing so. The nature of the draw for the knockout phase means the team that tops Group F does not face another group winner until the semifinals at the earliest. Portugal are fifth favorites in the Outright market yet their path to the last four should not be overly treacherous.


A surprise 2-0 defeat to Slovenia in a friendly earlier this year may have quelled Portuguese optimism a touch. However, they were without the likes of Bruno Fernandes, Diogo Jota and Bernardo Silva, top players who will contribute this summer if available. Cristiano Ronaldo is still going strong too, with the reigning Golden Boot holder also the second-top scorer in qualifying.



TURKEY


To Win the Group: 5.00

To Win Euro 2024: 67.00


Turkey got to the semifinals of this competition in 2008 but went out in the Group Stage in the last two editions, losing five of six matches across Euro 2016 and Euro 2020.


They are second favorites in Group F and can carry legitimate hopes of reaching the knockout phase in Germany. Despite being seeded in Pot 4 for qualification, the Turkish topped their group ahead of Croatia, with a defeat to them their only loss.


This impressive form was undermined in March friendlies though. A 1-0 loss away to Hungary is one thing, a 6-1 thumping by Austria was far less acceptable. It will be worth seeing how they perform against Italy in a friendly in June.


Turkey haven’t faced Georgia since 2012 but have won all three meetings with Czech Republic in the last decade, the last of which was in November 2022. If beating Portugal is unlikely, there will be enough points available elsewhere.


While 12 players scored in qualifying, Kerem Aktürkoğlu and Cenk Tosun were joint-top with just two apiece. Similarly, only six Turkish players have found the net in Europe’s big five leagues this season (at the time of writing). If they can get through the group, a lack of top-level scoring may limit Turkey’s ambitions beyond that.


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CZECHIA


To Win the Group: 8.00

To Win Euro 2024: 151.00


Czech Republic have alternated between at least reaching the quarterfinals or going out in the group stage at the European Championships since 1996. If the pattern continues, they will not reach the knockout stages this summer.


A patchy record in qualification does little to change that idea. While they finished level on points with Albania, a 3-0 defeat in Tirana combined with a 1-1 draw in Prague meant they lost the head-to-head and had to settle for runners-up spot. Based on April’s FIFA Rankings, only Georgia in this Group are less of a threat than the Albanians, which doesn’t augur well for the Czech’s chances here.


But their form is generally good. In the 12 months between March in 2023 and 2024, Czechia won seven and drew four of their 12 matches, and only in the Albania loss did they concede more than once.


At the other end, much will rest on Patrik Schick. He was the joint-top scorer at Euro 2020, with five goals, only missing out on the Golden Boot thanks to the assist tiebreaker. Injury problems meant Schick was unavailable throughout qualification, but he has returned to action for new Bundesliga champions Bayer Leverkusen and averages a goal every other game in international football.


In his absence, West Ham’s Tomáš Souček top-scored in qualifying, and his presence in central midfield will be vital in Germany if the Czechs are to reach the Round of 16.



GEORGIA


To Win the Group: 15.00

To Win Euro 2024: 501.00


Georgia is the only nation at Euro 2024 for whom it is their first appearance at a major tournament. Beating Greece on penalties in the playoffs was an incredibly proud day for the country but they look unlikely to have too much to celebrate in Germany.


The Georgians reached the playoffs by virtue of topping a group in the third tier of the Nations League which also featured Bulgaria, Gibraltar and North Macedonia. In their Euros qualifying group, Georgia only beat Cyprus (twice), collecting home points against Norway and Scotland. There’s nothing much in that which raises hopes against the level of competition in Group F.


They have two beacons of hope in attack. Winger Khvicha Kvaratskhelia won Serie A with Napoli in 2022/23 and has been drawing transfer interest from across the continent, while Georges Mikautadze hit 12 goals for Metz in Ligue 1 this season.


At the back, goalkeeper Giorgi Mamardashvili is their only other squad member with significant playing time in one of the big five leagues in 2023/24. He can expect to be kept busy, and likely too involved to keep Georgia in the competition.



PREDICTION


This group should finish in the order that the odds suggest it will. With Georgia likely to lose to the three other sides, there’s a fair chance the trio will all qualify for the knockout phase.


Indeed, a draw in the final match between Czech Republic and Türkiye could be mutually beneficial and ensure both reach the next stage. But whichever teams emerge from Group F, it’s only Portugal who look capable of a deep run into the competition.


Find all Euro 2024 match odds on Bet2invest


*Odds subject to change

Friday, June 14, 2024

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